A rules-based Micro Nasdaq strategy for traders who fund their own account and want it run with a fixed risk on every trade.
Your broker, your money, your risk setting. The software places the orders, and the account stays in your name.
Risk is 1% of the current balance on every trade, so size grows with the account, capped at 20 MNQ per $50,000 of balance and using full-size NQ for each block of ten micros. Log scale, so equal heights are equal percentage moves. After commissions and one tick of slippage on stops and market exits.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | −1.5 | +0.7 | +2.3 | +2.9 | +3.9 | −1.0 | +3.1 | +10.6 | |||||
| 2020 | +0.8 | −0.4 | +1.3 | +3.0 | +1.5 | +1.0 | −3.6 | +1.0 | +14.0 | +4.2 | +8.6 | +4.1 | +40.1 |
| 2021 | +0.4 | −5.8 | +4.8 | +0.4 | +3.1 | +8.9 | −2.8 | +4.3 | −5.0 | +2.0 | −0.7 | +10.6 | +20.6 |
| 2022 | −2.0 | +13.5 | +8.6 | +10.5 | +27.3 | +9.3 | −0.7 | +1.4 | −4.5 | +0.3 | +2.1 | +1.9 | +86.4 |
| 2023 | +3.0 | −1.5 | +20.7 | −5.1 | +3.8 | +3.3 | +2.2 | −4.7 | +1.0 | −1.7 | −2.1 | +2.9 | +21.5 |
| 2024 | +4.8 | +3.7 | −0.2 | +2.0 | +7.6 | −1.7 | +4.2 | −0.4 | −4.7 | +6.6 | +1.7 | +5.0 | +31.7 |
| 2025 | −4.3 | +1.8 | −4.2 | +9.4 | +5.5 | −1.6 | +4.3 | −1.4 | +2.4 | −1.9 | +7.4 | +4.9 | +23.5 |
| 2026 | +10.7 | −4.7 | +5.2 | +1.4 | +4.7 | −5.6 | −1.6 | +14.0 | +4.1 | +0.9 | +31.0 |
Compounding at 1% risk. Worst month −5.8% (February 2021). Best month +27.3% (May 2022). 2019 starts in June; 2026 runs to October 2.
The rules were developed on the same history they were tested on, so live results should come in below the backtest. We plan for +0.05R to +0.15R per trade live, against +0.20R in testing. Over about 145 trades a year at $500 risk, that is the range above. A flat year is possible, and losing runs of ten or eleven trades happened in testing.
| Risk per trade | Typical size | Backtest worst drawdown | Backtest average year | Plan for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5% · $250 | 1–18 MNQ | −$3,470 · 7% | $8,600 | $2,000–5,500 |
| 1% · $500 · reference | 3–20 MNQ | −$5,492 · 11% | $15,600 | $4,000–11,000 |
| 1.5% · $750 | 5–20 MNQ | −$8,486 · 17% | $18,900 | $5,000–13,000 |
Figures in this table hold risk at the dollar amount shown, so they describe a year on $50,000 before any compounding. Size is capped at 20 MNQ per $50,000, so at 1.5% the cap often limits the trade and returns grow less than the risk. Size also scales with the trend: 1.5 times the set risk when the 15-minute trend agrees, half or full risk when it does not. Larger accounts scale in the same proportion, with full-size NQ used for each block of ten micros.
Long only after price rejects an untested daily support. Short only after it rejects an untested daily resistance.
When the short-term trend turns, a limit order waits at an untested level. It does not chase at market.
New positions between 09:30 and 15:00 New York, none from 10:30 to 11:00, and flat by 16:00. Nothing is held overnight.
Stop beyond the trend's extreme, target at the prior leg. Trades with less than 0.6 to 1 reward to risk are skipped.
We publish every live trade each month next to what the backtest would have done, starting with the October 2026 paper account.
Beta access while the live record builds.
Licence for one NinjaTrader machine, updates and setup help.
About three months free.
Each plan starts with a 14-day trial on a simulated account.
Founder pricing goes to the first 50 people on this list, in order. We will email you once when sign-ups open, with the setup guide. No other mail.